Moving average method in epidemic process forecasting

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Title	Moving average method in epidemic process forecasting
Authors	Piletskiy, P.E. Chumachenko, D.I.
ORCID
Keywords	moving average methods forecasting epidemic process ixodes tick borreliosis прогнозування прогнозирование епідемічний процес эпидемический процесс
Type	Conference Papers
Date of Issue	2017
URI	http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/55765
Publisher	Sumy State University
License	Copyright not evaluated
Citation	Piletskiy P.E. Moving average method in epidemic process forecasting [Текст] / P.E. Piletskiy, D.I. Chumachenko // Advanced Information Systems and Technologies : proceedings of the V international scientific conference, Sumy, May 17-19 2017/ Edited by S.І. Protsenko, V.V. Shendryk. - Sumy : Sumy State University, 2017. - P. 12-14.
Abstract	In this study, the application of the moving average method to the forecasting of the epidemic process is considered. As an example, the method is used to predict the incidence of ixodes tick borreliosis. To automate the calculation of the forecast, a software package was developed. The accuracy of the results was verified on real statistical data on morbidity in the Kharkiv region.
Appears in Collections:	Наукові видання (ЕлІТ)