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Title Assessment and forecasting of Ukraine’s financial security: Choice of alternatives
Authors Rekunenko, Ihor Ivanovych  
Zhuravka, Fedir Oleksandrovych  
Nebaba, N.
Levkovych, O.
Chorna, S.
ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1558-629X
http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8368-5743
Keywords assessment
diagnostics
financial security
forecasting
indicators
integrated index
methodology
multiplicative model
Ukraine
Type Article
Date of Issue 2022
URI https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/87768
Publisher LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives”
License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Citation Ihor Rekunenko, Fedir Zhuravka, Natalia Nebaba, Oksana Levkovych and Svitlana Chorna (2022). Assessment and forecasting of Ukraine’s financial security: Choice of alternatives. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 20(2), 117-134. doi:10.21511/ppm.20(2).2022.11
Abstract Financial security of a country is an integral part of its economic security and the basis of national security. The paper aims to assess and forecast the level of Ukraine’s financial security using two methodological approaches (the existing one and the authors’ elaboration) to choose the best alternative. The first one is based on the Methodology of the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine. The alternative one has been developed as a multiplicative model of non-linear convolution of relevant direct and indirect impact indicators, considering the opportunity and risk, which is based on a combination of a power function and the Harrington method. A database of input indicators was formed with further differentiation according to their impact on Ukraine’s financial security. The research results demonstrated that during 2013–2019 Ukraine’s financial security integrated index was cyclical and constantly changing. A comparison of the existing methodology and the developed model demonstrated a certain discrepancy between the obtained results. It was substantiated that the proposed multiplicative non-linear convolution model for assessing and forecasting the state’s financial security is more relevant, includes current indicators sorted by their direct and indirect impact, and adjusts them according to the risk of impact on overall security in the country.
Appears in Collections: Наукові видання (ННІ БіЕМ)

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