Effect of drawdown strategy on risk and return in Nigerian stock market

Abstract

The study examined effect of drawdown on return in the Nigerian stock market. The study covered the period of 2005 to 2020. Purposive sampling was employed and the sample size comprising 90 regularly traded stocks were used for the analysis. Monthly data sourced from the CBN statistical bulletin and Nigeria Stock Exchange on stock prices, market index, risk-free rate ownership shareholdings, market capitalization, book value of equity, earnings before interest and taxes, total assets and drawdown were used for study. The Fama-MacBeth two-step regression method was employed. The study found that the drawdown has a negative and significant effect on stock returns but has a positive and significant effect on risk in the Nigerian stock market over the whole sample period. Findings also revealed that the sub-period are not stable in terms of the magnitude of effect and significance on risk and return. Our findings contradict the a-priori expectation that drawdown could improve performance through risk minimization and return maximization in the Nigerian stock market. Based on the findings investors and other market participant are encouraged to use drawdown as one of the investment performance measures to guide investors’ expectation and their tolerance on the size of stock market disruption or crashes or rallies in Nigeria.