Poghosyan, K.Tovmasyan, G.2021-11-052021-11-052021Poghosyan, K., Tovmasyan, G. (2021). Modelling and Forecasting Domestic Tourism. Case Study from Armenia. SocioEconomic Challenges, 5(2), 96-110. https://doi.org/10.21272/sec.5(2).96-110.2021https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/86088This paper summarizes the arguments and counterarguments within the scientific discussion on the issue of modelling and forecasting domestic tourism. During Covid-19 many countries tried to develop domestic tourism as an alternative to inbound tourism. In Armenia domestic tourism has grown recently, and in 2020 the decrease was 33% compared to last year. The main purpose of the research is to model and forecast domestic tourism growth in Armenia.enCC BY 4.0внутрішній туризмместный туризмdomestic tourismмоделі прогнозуваннямодели прогнозированияforecasting modelsрекурсивна та плинна регресіярекурсивная и скользящая регрессияrecursive and rolling regressionстатистикастатистикаstatisticsArticle