Видання зареєстровані авторами шляхом самоархівування
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Item Current state and trends of the shadow sector of the economy(Sumy State University, 2020) Тютюник, Інна Володимирівна; Тютюнык, Инна Владимировна; Tiutiunyk, Inna Volodymyrivna; Zolkover, A.О.; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Лєонов, Сергій Вячеславович; Леонов, Сергей Вячеславович; Lieonov, Serhii ViacheslavovychСучасні тенденції економічного розвитку більшості країн світу актуалізують потребу в удосконаленні існуючого інструментарію забезпечення їх економічного зростання та сталого розвитку. Важливим аспектом в цьому напрямку є реалізація політики детінізації економіки. В статті проаналізовані сучасні світові тенденції функціонування тіньового сектору економіки, визначені найбільш поширені схеми тіньового виведення капіталу та підходи до їх класифікації. Проведено систематизацію існуючих методичних підходів до оцінювання рівня тінізації економіки, визначені їх переваги та недоліки. Обґрунтовано доцільність розробки уніфікованого підходу до оцінювання обсягу тіньових фінансових потоків, в основі якого лежить врахування багатоканальності схем тіньового виведення капіталу.Item Сучасний стан та тенденції розвитку тіньового сектору економіки(European Organization for Nuclear Research, 2020) Тютюник, Інна Володимирівна; Тютюнык, Инна Владимировна; Tiutiunyk, Inna Volodymyrivna; Золковер, А.О.; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Лєонов, Сергій Вячеславович; Леонов, Сергей Вячеславович; Lieonov, Serhii ViacheslavovychСучасні тенденції економічного розвитку більшості країн світу актуалізують потребу в удосконаленні існуючого інструментарію забезпечення їх економічного зростання та сталого розвитку. Важливим аспектом в цьому напрямку є реалізація політики детінізації економіки. В статті проаналізовані сучасні світові тенденції функціонування тіньового сектору економіки, визначені найбільш поширені схеми тіньового виведення капіталу та підходи до їх класифікації. Проведено систематизацію існуючих методичних підходів до оцінювання рівня тінізації економіки, визначені їх переваги та недоліки. Обґрунтовано доцільність розробки уніфікованого підходу до оцінювання обсягу тіньових фінансових потоків, в основі якого лежить врахування багатоканальності схем тіньового виведення капіталу.Item Government Policy on Macroeconomic Stability: Case for Low- and Middle- Income Economies(IBIMA Conference, 2020) Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Пімоненко, Тетяна Володимирівна; Пимоненко, Татьяна Владимировна; Pimonenko, Tetiana Volodymyrivna; Квілінський, Олексій Станіславович; Квилинский, Алексей Станиславович; Kwilinski, Aleksy; Ус, Яна Олександрівна; Ус, Яна Александровна; Us, Yana Oleksandrivna; Arefieva, O.; Akimov, O.; Pudryk, D.This study summarizes the existing world experience on scientific and methodological approaches for assessing the macroeconomic stability of the national economy. The systematization of the scientific background allowed concluding the absence of unitized terminological apparatus to define the concept of macroeconomic stability. This study aims to develop the methodology of integrated assessment of the level of macroeconomic stability of the national economy under improving its conceptual bases. The object of this study is country Ukraine, its neighbour countries and countries that have recently joined the EU. For data processing, the authors used the program of statistical analysis Stata 14. The analysis of macro stability indicators was conducted at different stages of the economic cycle: 1) pre-crisis period (2000–2006); 2) crisis period (2007–2010); and 3) the post-crisis period (2011–2017). The authors proposed the methodology for the integrated assessment of the level of macroeconomic stability of the national economy based on the concept of the pentagon model of macroeconomic stability. Therefore, this model considered five main guidelines of state stabilization policy as follows: 1) GDP growth; 2) unemployment rate; 3) inflation rate; 4) external debt; 5) state budget balance. The obtained results of testing the proposed approach for assessing the level of macroeconomic stability allowed concluding that the largest level of decline in the static indicator of macroeconomic stability of the national economy in 2011-2017 was in Ukraine and Serbia. The authors noted that results of this study are considered to be the base for future investigations aimed at improving the conceptual bases of integrated assessment of the level of macroeconomic stability of the national economy.Item The Link Between Economic Growth and Tourism: Covid-19 Impact(International Business Information Management Association (IBIMA), 2020) Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Ус, Яна Олександрівна; Ус, Яна Александровна; Us, Yana Oleksandrivna; Пімоненко, Тетяна Володимирівна; Пимоненко, Татьяна Владимировна; Pimonenko, Tetiana Volodymyrivna; Квілінський, Олексій Станіславович; Квилинский, Алексей Станиславович; Kwilinski, Aleksy; Васильєва, Тетяна Анатоліївна; Васильева, Татьяна Анатольевна; Vasylieva, Tetiana Anatoliivna; Dalevska, Nataliya; Polcyn, Jan; Boiko, ViktoriiaThis paper deals with the investigation of the relationship between tourism and economic growth. The research theoretically proved modern tourism was a widespread dynamic industry with high impact on economic development, damaged by COVID-19 crisis. This paper aims to analyse changes in the tourism industry to forecast recovering of tourism activity in the view of quarantine restrictions. For achieving the goals, the authors used the extrapolation model ARIMA. The object is the routs plotting requests of Apple users in Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary and Czechia from 13 January to 9 May 2020. The forecast has been conducted under several conditions as follows: 1) without the introduction of quarantine restrictions from 11.03.2020; 2) taking into account the quarantine restrictions on movements. The findings demonstrated that the adopted quarantine measures have a significant impact on overcoming the recession in the tourism industry in conditions of economic, social and political tension. Herewith, there is a slight positive tendency in recovering tourism. The results provide background for future researchers on developing a strategy to overcome the tourism recession.Item The impact of the pandemic lockdown on air pollution, health and economic growth: system dynamics analysis(Aluna Publishing, 2020) Сміянов, Владислав Анатолійович; Смиянов, Владислав Анатольевич; Smiianov, Vladyslav Anatoliiovych; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Пімоненко, Тетяна Володимирівна; Пимоненко, Татьяна Владимировна; Pimonenko, Tetiana Volodymyrivna; Andrushchenko, T.A.; Sova, S.; Grechkovskaya, N.V.The aim of the paper is checking the hypothesis on the linking between consequences of pandemic lockdown and air pollution, public health, and economic growth. For prediction and modelling of the pandemic lockdown’s impact on the air pollution, health, and economic growth with the system dynamics analysis and software Vensim; for the analysis, the authors used the methods as follows: bibliometric analysis with Scopus Tools Analysis and software VOSviewer. The findings confirmed that the current rate of infected from growing disease was 11%. If quarantine continues the rate of infected from the growing disease will be 15%. If the quarantine cancels the rate of infected from the growing disease will be 5%, and the declining of GDP increment will be higher, than in scenario with quarantine. The findings confirmed the hypothesis that lockdown has the negative impact on the economic, social, and ecological growth of the country. At the same time, in the case, if the government cancel the quarantine, the declining of GDP increment will be higher, and the rate of infected from the growing disease will be the highest – 15%. In this case, the government should provide the quarantine regime and strengthen the control of the compliance.Item The national economy competitiveness: effect of macroeconomic stability, renewable energy on economic growth(VARAZDIN DEVELOPMENT & ENTREPRENEURSHIP AGENCY, 2019) Ibragimov, Z.; Васильєва, Тетяна Анатоліївна; Васильева, Татьяна Анатольевна; Vasylieva, Tetiana Anatoliivna; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii ValentynovychAccording to the reports of the Global Competitiveness which developed by the World Economic Forum, the competitiveness was defined as "a set of institutions, policies and production factors that form the level of the country's performance". This paper investigates the effect of macroeconomic stability, environmental performance on economic growth. The object of investigation - the countries with transformation process from the recourses to the effective economic model according to the reports of the Global Competitiveness which developed by the World Economic Forum. The authors indicated that the main goal to achieve the stable growth - increasing the level of the national economic competitiveness could be realized not only through the growth of the key determinants of the competitiveness: institutions; infrastructure; macroeconomic stability and etc., but also considering the aspects and parameters of country's environmental performance. The methodology instruments of the investigation were modified production function of Cobb-Douglas which considering the level of the country's macroeconomic stability and environmental performance. The period of investigation was 2000-2017 years. Under this research, the authors used the dataset from World Data Bank, Global Environmental performance Index, Global competitiveness report. The findings proved the correspondence of the developed models to the input dataset. Moreover, the assessments of the elasticity of the developed model components were positive and statistically significant.Item Macroeconomic Stability and Its Impact on the Economic Growth of the Country(NGO "Economic Laboratory for Transition Research" (ELIT) Podgorica, 2018) Васильєва, Тетяна Анатоліївна; Васильева, Татьяна Анатольевна; Vasylieva, Tetiana Anatoliivna; Лєонов, Сергій Вячеславович; Леонов, Сергей Вячеславович; Lieonov, Serhii Viacheslavovych; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Кириченко, Костянтин Іванович; Кириченко, Константин Иванович; Kyrychenko, Kostiantyn IvanovychThe main purpose of this research is to study the role and impact force of macroeconomic stability on economic growth in the period from 2000 to 2016, using the modified Cobb–Douglas production function. The results of Global Competitiveness Report, published by World Economic Forum, demonstrated that at the existing level of economic growth in Ukraine the basic drivers for improvement of the country's competitiveness are necessary to be considered for building of the production function. Basing on the analysis performed, the author created odified Cobb–Douglas production function where Macroeconomic stability, openness of the economy and foreign direct investments are used as additional explanatory variables of Cobb–Douglas production function. Obtained findings indicate the high level of compliance of the built model with the initial data. Herewith, the assessment of the elasticity of macroeconomic stability is positive and statistically significant.Item Macroeconomic stability evaluation in countries of lower-middle income economies(Національний гірничий університет, 2018) Лєонов, Сергій Вячеславович; Леонов, Сергей Вячеславович; Lieonov, Serhii Viacheslavovych; Васильєва, Тетяна Анатоліївна; Васильева, Татьяна Анатольевна; Vasylieva, Tetiana Anatoliivna; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii ValentynovychThe results of macroeconomic stability pentagons empiric analysis for countries with the lower-middle income economies at different stages of the economic cycle (precrisis period (2000‒2006), crisis period (2007‒2010) and postcrisis period (2011‒2015)) proved the lack of coordination in different economic policies of every studied state. The statistic indicator of the macroeconomic stability is calculated. It is suggested to calculate its dynamic indicator, which differs from statistic one by considering standard fluctuations, asymmetry and extreme deviations of its subindices. It lets to define low syncronization of the analyzed countries’ policies, which have to provide the main five directions of the macroeconomic stability.Item Sustainable economic development and greenhouse gas emissions: the dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption, GDP, and corruption(Energies, 2019) Васильєва, Тетяна Анатоліївна; Васильева, Татьяна Анатольевна; Vasylieva, Tetiana Anatoliivna; Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Білан, Юрій Валентинович; Билан, Юрий Валентинович; Bilan, Yurii Valentynovych; Streimikiene, D.The paper investigates the relationships between economic, social, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. GDP growth represents the main economic dimension, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and renewable energy consumption the environmental dimension, and corruption the social dimension of sustainable development. The investigation of these relationships is based on the concept of the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis about the non-linear relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution. The authors used the panel data of EU countries and Ukraine for 2000–2016 years from the Eurostat database. The obtained results confirmed the Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for the EU and Ukraine. All the indicators were statistically significant at 1% and 5% levels. The findings proved that increasing renewable energy (RE) by 1% led to a decline of GHG in the interval (0.166103, 0.220551), and an increase of the Control of Corruption Index by 1% provoked a decline of GHG by 0.88%. The conducted study enabled the authors to conclude that Ukraine needs to increase the GDP level per capita given the economy diversification and via the introduction of more effective and “clean” production technologies.Item Path from environmental, social and economic contradictions to convergent model: forecast of the macroeconomic stability(Centre of Sociological Research, 2020) Люльов, Олексій Валентинович; Люлев, Алексей Валентинович; Liulov, Oleksii Valentynovych; Пімоненко, Тетяна Володимирівна; Пимоненко, Татьяна Владимировна; Pimonenko, Tetiana Volodymyrivna; Білан, Юрій Валентинович; Билан, Юрий Валентинович; Bilan, Yurii ValentynovychIn the conditions of systemic transformation of the world economy the role of theoretical and methodological substantiation of macroeconomic stability of the national economy noticeably grows. With the current globalization processes and the negative consequences of the global financial recession, it becomes important to strengthen Ukraine's position in the international economy, find ways to revive its productive potential, further transformation in the socio-economic sphere, reforming the financial system. This includes, among other things, the development of concepts for the effective use of such macroeconomic regulators of the national economy, which would help to intensify the business activity of economic entities and accelerate economic growth. There is a need to develop such a long-term strategy of state building, which would be focused on accelerating the pace of economic development and at the same time providing funding for social guarantees. In connection with the above, there is also an urgent need to strengthen the role of macroeconomic regulation of the national economy to stabilize it and ensure the appropriate level of development.