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Item Determinants of Management of Central Bank to Provide the Economic Growth: an Application of Structural Equation Modeling(Applied Economics Studies, 2021) Сисоєва, Лариса Юріївна; Sysoieva, Larysa Yuriivna; Бєлова, Інна Валеріївна; Bielova, Inna Valeriivna; Рябушка, Людмила Борисівна; Riabushka, Liudmyla Borysivna; Деміхов, Олексій Ігорович; Demikhov, Oleksii IhorovychThe country's domestic economic expansion is becoming increasingly important, especially in the context of the epidemic and financial crises, both within individual countries and the world. To provide this growth, it is relevant to the strategy of the central bank's activities for overcoming extern in the context of epidemical and internal threats with specific regulatory approaches and monetary instruments. The paper summarizes the arguments and counterarguments within the discussion of the question regarding the central bank's influence on the country's economic growth. The study's primary purpose is to determine the relationship between the indicators that characterize the central bank's activities and the country's economic development. The systematization of literary sources and approaches related to this issue confirms the mediated relationship between the activities of the central bank and the economic growth on a long-term basis. The relevance of this topic is closely connected with the changing role of the central bank and the expansion of its powers, tasks, responsibilities, and its place in the country's economy. This research's objective is the economies of the countries predominantly of the European Union, which has different levels of economic development. The structural modeling method is used in STATA 12.0 (based on data on 11 variables for the period of 1998-2016 for 24 countries). The results of the study confirm the correlation between the role of central banks and domestic economic expansion.Item The impact of economic shadowing on social development: challenges for macroeconomic stability(National Mining University, 2022) Карпенко, Інна Володимирівна; Карпенко, Инна Владимировна; Karpenko, Inna Volodymyrivna; Zolkover, A.O.; Лєонов, Сергій Вячеславович; Леонов, Сергей Вячеславович; Lieonov, Serhii Viacheslavovych; Рябушка, Людмила Борисівна; Рябушка, Людмила Борисовна; Riabushka, Liudmyla BorysivnaPurpose. To develop a model of investigating the link between the level of shadow economy and indicators of social development of the country. Methodology. The study of the relationship between the analyzed indicators was conducted using general and special research methods. The established hypotheses were tested using VAR/VEC modeling. Dickey-Fuller test, the Phillips-Perron test, Joansen test are used in the work. Findings. The paper identifi es the risks of the shadow economy for social indicators of macroeconomic stability. Based on the analysis of the country’s social development indicators, indicators were identifi ed that are most sensitive to changes in the level of the shadow economy which are: Gini coeffi cient, average income ratio of 10 % of the richest to 10 % of the poorest, average income ratio of 20 % of the richest to 20 % of the poorest sections of the population, Human Development Index, gross average wage. The EU countries and Ukraine are identifi ed as the statistical base of the study and the assessment period is 2005–2020. The results of modeling proved the relationship between the level of shadow economy and indicator of social development. Originality. The approach to assessing the relationship between the level of the shadow economy and indicators of social development of the country by considering the indicators that most fully characterize the level of social protection and material wellbeing of the population has been improved. Practical value. The scientific contribution of the paper is that existing research on the impact of shadow economy on the level of social development of the countries remains fragmented, as well as studies assessing its effect on the macroeconomic stability. The impulse response function constructed by the authors may provide some insight into better understanding of the indicators of social development, the most sensitive to the shadow economy shocks. The results of estimation can be used for practical or scientifi c purposes.Item The Causal Nexus of Consumer and Business Confidence Indexes in Early Pandemic Period: Evidence from OECD Countries(MDPI, 2021) Бєлова, Інна Валеріївна; Белова, Инна Валерьевна; Bielova, Inna Valeriivna; Halík, J.; Рябушка, Людмила Борисівна; Рябушка, Людмила Борисовна; Riabushka, Liudmyla BorysivnaThe COVID-19 pandemic has been shown dire consequences for the global economy, not only in the past and present but also in the future. These consequences are not only humanitarian but also financial and economic. This article raises the question of whether the state of the health system is a factor that determines the direction of changes in consumer and business sentiment during the COVID-19 or whether other factors are more significant. The goal is to find out whether there is real progress in the national health system of a particular country or a regression and on this base to answer the question: What is more important for the expectations of the population and industry during the spread of the pandemic; the dynamics of the development of the health system or other factors? To assess the dynamics of the development of the health care system in different countries, we used the annual data on individual health indicators of the OECD countries for 2006–2019. There were identified countries with dynamic development and a slowing/deteriorating health system. Based on Granger’s approach in EViews, we used the Augmented Dickey–Fuller test and admit that health care systems are not a determining factor in consumer and business sentiment during a pandemic, i.e., only economic factors. The research contributes to the developed COVID-19 research by examining the impact of the changes in the mutual influence of Confidence indexes and macro indicators during the pandemic.Item Assessment of government debt security of emerging markets: theory and practice(Businness Perspectives, 2020) Koilo, V.; Рябушка, Людмила Борисівна; Рябушка, Людмила Борисовна; Riabushka, Liudmyla Borysivna; Кубах, Тетяна Григорівна; Кубах, Татьяна Григорьевна; Kubakh, Tetiana Hryhorivna; Halík, J.This study came to inspect a new approach to the government debt security assessment based on the systematization of indicators in terms of four directions: solvency, liquidity, domestic indebtedness, and external indebtedness. The proposed methodology considers the weaknesses, which negatively affect the level of government debt security. It was established that in 2014−2016 the level of security at emerging markets was the worst. The main reason was insufficient solvency. Also, the obtained results showed that the general assessment of domestic indebtedness in recent years had a more dangerous level than the external one. In addition, it was revealed that similar problems with the level of debt burden are also presented in the EU countries since the value of the analyzed indicator – general government debt to GDP – exceeds 60%. It is recommended to consider the experience of debt management reform of new members of the EU and, at the same time, post-socialist countries by other emerging economies.