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Title Moving average method in epidemic process forecasting
Authors Piletskiy, P.E.
Chumachenko, D.I.
ORCID
Keywords moving average methods
forecasting
epidemic process
ixodes tick borreliosis
прогнозування
прогнозирование
епідемічний процес
эпидемический процесс
Type Conference Papers
Date of Issue 2017
URI http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/55765
Publisher Sumy State University
License
Citation Piletskiy P.E. Moving average method in epidemic process forecasting [Текст] / P.E. Piletskiy, D.I. Chumachenko // Advanced Information Systems and Technologies : proceedings of the V international scientific conference, Sumy, May 17-19 2017/ Edited by S.І. Protsenko, V.V. Shendryk. - Sumy : Sumy State University, 2017. - P. 12-14.
Abstract In this study, the application of the moving average method to the forecasting of the epidemic process is considered. As an example, the method is used to predict the incidence of ixodes tick borreliosis. To automate the calculation of the forecast, a software package was developed. The accuracy of the results was verified on real statistical data on morbidity in the Kharkiv region.
Appears in Collections: Наукові видання (ЕлІТ)

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China China
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