Prediction of the vibration moment of mount Etna based on electromagnetic signal monitoring

Abstract

The forecast of the start date of the Etna volcano eruption is considered. For the first time in the history of volcanology, the forecast was made by two independent methods. The first method analyzed the nature of changes in electromagnetic emission in the environment surrounding the volcano, while the second method predicted the date of Etna's eruption based on a trend composed of regularly measured electromagnetic emission parameters.