Modelling and Forecasting Domestic Tourism. Case Study from Armenia
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Date
2021
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Sumy State University
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Abstract
This paper summarizes the arguments and counterarguments within the scientific discussion on the issue of modelling and forecasting domestic tourism. During Covid-19 many countries tried to develop domestic tourism as an alternative to inbound tourism. In Armenia domestic tourism has grown recently, and in 2020 the decrease was 33% compared to last year. The main purpose of the research is to model and forecast domestic tourism growth in Armenia.
Keywords
внутрішній туризм, местный туризм, domestic tourism, моделі прогнозування, модели прогнозирования, forecasting models, рекурсивна та плинна регресія, рекурсивная и скользящая регрессия, recursive and rolling regression, статистика, статистика, statistics
Citation
Poghosyan, K., Tovmasyan, G. (2021). Modelling and Forecasting Domestic Tourism. Case Study from Armenia. SocioEconomic Challenges, 5(2), 96-110. https://doi.org/10.21272/sec.5(2).96-110.2021