Financial system resilience and stress indicators in Ukraine under wartime conditions

Abstract

The financial system is continually subject to both external and internal factors that can lead to the buildup of systemic risks. During times of crisis, when threats to the financial system become especially severe, this accumulation of risks tends to intensify. War is one of the most significant factors that can provoke economic shocks, create macroeconomic uncertainty, deteriorate the investment climate, and increase financial instability. To assess the level of accumulated systemic risk in the financial sector, the Financial Stress Index (FSI), developed by the National Bank of Ukraine, can be utilized. This indicator aggregates the accumulated risks within the financial system and reflects the degree of tension across key financial markets. The dynamics of this indicator allow for the analysis of the impact of crisis phenomena and the identification of the need for macroprudential measures to support financial stability [1].