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Title Impact of public debt profile on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria
Authors Aiyedogbon, J.O.
Zhuravka, Fedir Oleksandrovych  
Korneyev, M.
Banchuk-Petrosova, O.
Kravchenko, Olena Volodymyrivna  
Keywords debt
domestic borrowings
economic growth
external debt
Nigeria
trade balance
Type Article
Date of Issue 2022
URI https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/87859
Publisher LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives”
License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Citation John O. Aiyedogbon, Fedir Zhuravka, Maxim Korneyev, Olena Banchuk-Petrosova and Olena Kravchenko (2022). Impact of public debt profile on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Public and Municipal Finance, 11(1), 10-19. doi:10.21511/pmf.11(1).2022.02
Abstract An excessive increase in public debt characterizes the contemporary development of the global economic and financial system. The paper aims to examine the short- and long-run impact of state debt on economic growth in Nigeria. The model was estimated using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing method to co-integration for the long-run investigation. At the same time, the contemporaneous dynamics were explored using an unrestricted error correction model. The data were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s statistical bulletins and annual reports, and it spanned the years from 1990 to 2020. The study uncovers evidence of a long-term link between the study variables. In addition, the study finds that all the explanatory is statistically significant. Specifically, economic growth is significant and negatively responsive to changes in external debt by 0.19% and debt servicing by 0.07%, contrary to its positive response to changes in domestic debt and exchange rate by 0.27% and 0.18%, respectively. The paper, therefore, recommends that government may consider more domestic borrowings to foreign borrowings that should only be resorted to when it is indispensable. Moreover, the government should also strive to balance loan servicing and the economic sustainability.
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