Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/87768
Or use following links to share this resource in social networks: Recommend this item
Title Assessment and forecasting of Ukraine’s financial security: Choice of alternatives
Authors Rekunenko, Ihor Ivanovych  
Zhuravka, Fedir Oleksandrovych  
Nebaba, N.
Levkovych, O.
Chorna, S.
ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1558-629X
http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8368-5743
Keywords assessment
diagnostics
financial security
forecasting
indicators
integrated index
methodology
multiplicative model
Ukraine
Type Article
Date of Issue 2022
URI https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/87768
Publisher LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives”
License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Citation Ihor Rekunenko, Fedir Zhuravka, Natalia Nebaba, Oksana Levkovych and Svitlana Chorna (2022). Assessment and forecasting of Ukraine’s financial security: Choice of alternatives. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 20(2), 117-134. doi:10.21511/ppm.20(2).2022.11
Abstract Financial security of a country is an integral part of its economic security and the basis of national security. The paper aims to assess and forecast the level of Ukraine’s financial security using two methodological approaches (the existing one and the authors’ elaboration) to choose the best alternative. The first one is based on the Methodology of the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine. The alternative one has been developed as a multiplicative model of non-linear convolution of relevant direct and indirect impact indicators, considering the opportunity and risk, which is based on a combination of a power function and the Harrington method. A database of input indicators was formed with further differentiation according to their impact on Ukraine’s financial security. The research results demonstrated that during 2013–2019 Ukraine’s financial security integrated index was cyclical and constantly changing. A comparison of the existing methodology and the developed model demonstrated a certain discrepancy between the obtained results. It was substantiated that the proposed multiplicative non-linear convolution model for assessing and forecasting the state’s financial security is more relevant, includes current indicators sorted by their direct and indirect impact, and adjusts them according to the risk of impact on overall security in the country.
Appears in Collections: Наукові видання (ННІ БіЕМ)

Views

Australia Australia
1
Burundi Burundi
1
China China
-1169853707
Côte d’Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire
1
France France
1781342083
Germany Germany
4887
Greece Greece
1
Hong Kong SAR China Hong Kong SAR China
1
India India
1
Indonesia Indonesia
1
Iran Iran
890671042
Ireland Ireland
2443631
Japan Japan
1
Latvia Latvia
1
Malaysia Malaysia
1
Philippines Philippines
1
Russia Russia
1
Singapore Singapore
1
South Africa South Africa
1
Sweden Sweden
219
Turkey Turkey
1
Ukraine Ukraine
574876459
United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates
1
United Kingdom United Kingdom
1396886037
United States United States
-1935335793
Vietnam Vietnam
1781342081

Downloads

Australia Australia
1
Bangladesh Bangladesh
1
Burundi Burundi
1
Chile Chile
1
China China
1
France France
1781342084
Germany Germany
574876460
India India
1
Ireland Ireland
1
Poland Poland
1
Sweden Sweden
574876457
Turkey Turkey
890671040
Ukraine Ukraine
-1807412991
United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates
1
United Kingdom United Kingdom
1
United States United States
1781342086
Unknown Country Unknown Country
-972590340
Vietnam Vietnam
1781342082

Files

File Size Format Downloads
Rekunenko_et_al_financial_security_2022.pdf 658.31 kB Adobe PDF 309479592

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.